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Red411
4902103.3
3560117.3
2056243.8
Blue177
4992142.0
1374122.0
4308130.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386253100200300500600411177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
243.80.7
232.5233.1
Auto30.1
Teleop173.0
End43.5
red by 101.8
4992
#17
142.00.1
143.3143.4
Auto18.0
Teleop106.3
End16.8
Second
3560
#10
117.30.8
108.2109.0
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9
blue by 12.8
4308
#26
130.10.3
130.4130.7
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
Third
4902
#36
103.30.5
106.6106.2
Auto16.3
Teleop77.1
End7.1
blue by 18.7
1374
#30
122.01.1
126.8125.7
Auto17.2
Teleop90.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed