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Red425
3161154.7
188152.6
2200177.4
Blue204
4992142.0
4932126.6
6323155.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413286100200500600700425204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.40.2
175.2175.4
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
red by 21.7
6323
#19
155.60.0
155.4155.4
Auto19.6
Teleop111.9
End25.3
Second
3161
#15
154.71.4
149.5150.9
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
red by 12.7
4992
#17
142.00.3
143.4143.1
Auto18.0
Teleop106.3
End16.8
Third
188
#8
152.60.6
150.2149.5
Auto22.0
Teleop115.8
End17.3
red by 26.1
4932
#34
126.60.6
126.1126.7
Auto17.1
Teleop89.2
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed