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Red486
6632134.0
1325201.7
2056243.8
Blue263
4902103.3
4618173.4
3683180.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458239100200300400500600700486263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
243.81.2
233.1234.4
Auto30.1
Teleop173.0
End43.5
red by 63.9
3683
#14
180.01.4
176.4177.7
Auto22.1
Teleop131.8
End25.8
Second
201.70.1
200.4200.3
Auto22.6
Teleop152.2
End25.5
red by 28.2
4618
#22
173.40.2
171.6171.8
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
Third
6632
#24
134.00.8
129.0129.8
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End16.1
red by 30.7
4902
#36
103.30.2
106.2106.4
Auto16.3
Teleop77.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed