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Red373
4039168.8
2386151.0
5921110.3
Blue279
6537121.0
4618173.4
3161154.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703670100200300400500600373279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.82.0
172.2170.2
Auto26.9
Teleop132.0
End7.7
blue by 4.6
4618
#22
173.41.1
171.7172.8
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
Second
2386
#20
151.00.6
149.4150.0
Auto15.5
Teleop117.9
End16.1
blue by 3.7
3161
#15
154.71.4
152.7154.0
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
Third
5921
#18
110.31.3
112.3111.0
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
blue by 10.7
6537
#29
121.00.5
120.4120.9
Auto17.9
Teleop90.9
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed