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Red278
4308130.1
2609158.6
6632134.0
Blue493
4976189.1
1334159.8
4069127.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293390200500600700278493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#16
158.60.6
157.2157.8
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
blue by 30.5
189.10.0
187.3187.3
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
Second
6632
#24
134.01.6
131.8133.4
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End16.1
blue by 25.8
1334
#13
159.80.5
159.8159.3
Auto19.6
Teleop112.6
End26.7
Third
4308
#26
130.10.5
131.0130.5
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
red by 2.3
127.81.9
122.5124.4
Auto19.4
Teleop90.1
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned