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Red270
2935134.2
6537121.0
4902103.3
Blue429
2200177.4
6070119.8
5699102.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653430100200300400500600270429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#38
134.20.8
135.7135.0
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
blue by 43.1
177.40.0
175.8175.8
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
Second
6537
#29
121.00.1
120.9121.0
Auto17.9
Teleop90.9
End12.8
red by 1.2
6070
#12
119.80.5
118.5119.0
Auto18.6
Teleop89.4
End13.0
Third
4902
#36
103.31.8
105.1103.3
Auto16.3
Teleop77.1
End7.1
red by 0.4
5699
#23
102.81.0
101.8102.8
Auto19.7
Teleop80.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned