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Red573
5406196.3
4039168.8
6323155.6
Blue165
3571126.6
4308130.1
5921110.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4581680100200300400500600573165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.30.0
194.4194.5
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
red by 66.2
4308
#26
130.10.5
130.5129.9
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4
Second
168.81.1
170.2169.0
Auto26.9
Teleop132.0
End7.7
red by 42.2
3571
#35
126.60.2
126.8126.6
Auto15.4
Teleop98.8
End15.6
Third
6323
#19
155.60.5
154.5155.0
Auto19.6
Teleop111.9
End25.3
red by 45.4
5921
#18
110.30.7
111.0110.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed