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Red310
4932126.6
1374122.0
1241230.0
Blue494
188152.6
2056243.8
2609158.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2774390100200400500600700310494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.01.0
228.0229.0
Auto25.2
Teleop174.7
End31.2
blue by 13.9
243.82.5
237.6240.1
Auto30.1
Teleop173.0
End43.5
Second
4932
#34
126.60.1
126.5126.6
Auto17.1
Teleop89.2
End21.2
blue by 32.0
2609
#16
158.60.4
157.8158.2
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
Third
1374
#30
122.00.2
122.2122.0
Auto17.2
Teleop90.0
End14.7
blue by 30.7
188
#8
152.60.9
149.7150.6
Auto22.0
Teleop115.8
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsEarned