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Red327
5426156.2
4920138.4
5483122.9
Blue468
4903175.6
4688139.9
5885127.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328376100200300500600327468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.20.1
156.2156.2
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
blue by 19.4
175.60.6
171.9172.5
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
138.40.6
137.8138.4
Auto21.3
Teleop100.2
End17.8
blue by 1.5
139.90.4
137.4137.8
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Third
5483
#22
122.90.3
122.7122.9
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
blue by 4.6
5885
#25
127.50.2
126.3126.5
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6