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Red452
5596142.4
6378163.4
3739129.4
Blue154
5039139.4
2634143.8
4951119.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332331200250300350400450452154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.40.2
161.9162.1
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
red by 19.6
143.80.5
142.9143.4
Auto14.5
Teleop106.0
End23.3
Second
5596
#12
142.40.7
138.7139.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
red by 3.0
5039
#13
139.40.9
137.8138.7
Auto17.5
Teleop110.3
End12.3
Third
3739
#37
129.40.1
128.2128.3
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3
red by 10.3
4951
#18
119.10.3
118.6118.9
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7