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Red264
5039139.4
4907116.1
4938107.8
Blue184
781116.7
7058126.1
6481120.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823040100200400500600700800264184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#13
139.40.3
124.9125.3
Auto17.5
Teleop110.3
End12.3
red by 13.3
7058
#17
126.10.7
113.5114.2
Auto19.8
Teleop92.5
End16.1
Second
4907
#15
116.10.7
110.3111.0
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End16.2
blue by 4.4
6481
#29
120.51.1
128.5127.3
Auto14.0
Teleop88.7
End18.9
Third
4938
#30
107.80.1
108.2108.1
Auto16.4
Teleop81.0
End7.4
blue by 8.9
781
#32
116.70.3
120.2120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop87.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed