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Red270
3756113.5
6881116.0
4920138.4
Blue237
7022106.1
5589122.5
6052127.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279276150200250300350400270237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.41.4
119.7121.1
Auto21.3
Teleop100.2
End17.8
red by 10.6
6052
#21
127.80.4
118.1118.6
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
Second
6881
#27
116.00.1
104.8104.8
Auto19.1
Teleop87.1
End11.2
blue by 6.6
5589
#23
122.50.4
120.5120.1
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
Third
3756
#24
113.51.2
115.0113.8
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End9.8
red by 7.4
7022
#16
106.10.6
101.2101.7
Auto13.8
Teleop77.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed