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Red282
4903175.6
781116.7
5426156.2
Blue438
4814129.5
2702141.8
6378163.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3683020100200500600700282438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.60.5
169.7170.2
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
red by 12.3
163.40.3
152.9153.2
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
Second
156.20.2
149.4149.2
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
red by 14.4
141.80.2
122.6122.4
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
Third
781
#32
116.70.5
120.4120.0
Auto17.4
Teleop87.3
End8.5
blue by 12.7
4814
#11
129.50.1
123.8123.8
Auto19.6
Teleop98.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed