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Red350
5689116.4
6052127.8
6856118.1
Blue150
4940120.9
5033103.8
5408101.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702900100200400500600700350150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6052
#21
127.80.4
118.6119.0
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
red by 6.9
4940
#19
120.90.2
117.1117.4
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
Second
118.10.7
102.7103.4
Auto18.1
Teleop90.5
End8.8
red by 14.3
5033
#38
103.88.5
95.7104.2
Auto13.2
Teleop79.5
End9.4
Third
5689
#28
116.41.2
120.5121.6
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
red by 15.3
5408
#34
101.10.8
96.897.5
Auto18.0
Teleop77.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed