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Red278
4951119.1
4936147.1
5589122.5
Blue303
6378163.4
4938107.8
587098.7
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308284150200250350400278303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4936
#10
147.11.1
147.5148.5
Auto21.1
Teleop105.6
End20.2
blue by 16.3
163.41.3
153.2154.4
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
Second
5589
#23
122.50.6
119.9120.4
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
red by 14.7
4938
#30
107.80.5
108.3108.8
Auto16.4
Teleop81.0
End7.4
Third
4951
#18
119.11.0
106.9107.9
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
red by 20.4
5870
#35
98.71.4
105.5104.1
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed