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Red256
3739129.4
4920138.4
4940120.9
Blue425
5033103.8
4814129.5
4903175.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277354100200400500600700256425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.41.8
122.3124.0
Auto21.3
Teleop100.2
End17.8
blue by 37.3
175.60.1
170.2170.3
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
3739
#37
129.40.2
126.4126.6
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3
blue by 0.1
4814
#11
129.51.1
123.8124.9
Auto19.6
Teleop98.6
End13.3
Third
4940
#19
120.90.2
117.4117.2
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
red by 17.0
5033
#38
103.84.6
104.2108.8
Auto13.2
Teleop79.5
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed