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Red292
4951119.1
4940120.9
4903175.6
Blue216
5483122.9
7058126.1
3756113.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492320100200300400500600292216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.60.1
168.9169.1
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
red by 49.6
7058
#17
126.10.5
113.0113.5
Auto19.8
Teleop92.5
End16.1
Second
4940
#19
120.90.2
117.1116.8
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
blue by 2.1
5483
#22
122.90.7
113.1113.8
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
Third
4951
#18
119.10.8
103.7104.4
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
red by 5.6
3756
#24
113.51.9
116.9115.0
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed