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Red219
5288111.1
3739129.4
5689116.4
Blue270
4907116.1
6881116.0
781116.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992630100200400500600219270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#37
129.41.3
129.3128.0
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3
red by 12.6
781
#32
116.70.0
120.1120.2
Auto17.4
Teleop87.3
End8.5
Second
5689
#28
116.40.8
118.8119.6
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
red by 0.3
4907
#15
116.10.5
109.7110.3
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End16.2
Third
5288
#31
111.11.9
114.6112.7
Auto16.9
Teleop84.2
End8.9
blue by 4.9
6881
#27
116.00.2
105.0104.8
Auto19.1
Teleop87.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed