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Red137
4525180.2
616295.3
5821112.4
Blue363
4936147.1
2702141.8
5033103.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299307150200250350400450137363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.22.0
166.6168.7
Auto26.0
Teleop128.5
End25.3
red by 33.1
4936
#10
147.10.4
146.2146.6
Auto21.1
Teleop105.6
End20.2
Second
5821
#26
112.41.7
120.4118.7
Auto18.1
Teleop81.4
End12.8
blue by 29.4
141.80.6
123.1122.5
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
Third
6162
#33
95.30.0
88.788.7
Auto16.5
Teleop73.3
End3.8
blue by 8.6
5033
#38
103.810.5
85.295.7
Auto13.2
Teleop79.5
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed