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Red217
4940120.9
6856118.1
4814129.5
Blue437
2634143.8
4688139.9
5596142.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291293250350400217437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4814
#11
129.50.1
123.7123.8
Auto19.6
Teleop98.6
End13.3
blue by 14.3
143.81.0
117.9118.8
Auto14.5
Teleop106.0
End23.3
Second
4940
#19
120.90.3
116.8117.1
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
blue by 21.6
5596
#12
142.40.3
114.8115.2
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
Third
118.10.9
101.7102.7
Auto18.1
Teleop90.5
End8.8
blue by 21.8
139.90.5
125.3124.8
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed