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Red176
5288111.1
5483122.9
587098.7
Blue300
5689116.4
5408101.1
4951119.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412740100200300400500176300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5483
#22
122.90.9
113.8114.7
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
red by 3.9
4951
#18
119.11.1
104.4105.5
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
Second
5288
#31
111.11.3
112.7111.4
Auto16.9
Teleop84.2
End8.9
blue by 5.3
5689
#28
116.40.9
119.6120.5
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
Third
5870
#35
98.71.5
108.0106.5
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End6.0
blue by 2.4
5408
#34
101.10.4
96.496.8
Auto18.0
Teleop77.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed