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Red497
4903175.6
6052127.8
5039139.4
Blue65
6854108.3
6856118.1
4936147.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34430910020040050049765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.60.5
170.7170.3
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
red by 28.6
4936
#10
147.10.5
147.9148.4
Auto21.1
Teleop105.6
End20.2
Second
5039
#13
139.42.0
131.7133.6
Auto17.5
Teleop110.3
End12.3
red by 21.3
118.11.8
115.7117.6
Auto18.1
Teleop90.5
End8.8
Third
6052
#21
127.80.7
125.3126.0
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
red by 19.5
6854
#36
108.30.3
110.2110.6
Auto12.7
Teleop84.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed