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Red260
616295.3
3739129.4
4951119.1
Blue350
6378163.4
6725127.0
5689116.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353500100200300400500600260350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#37
129.40.3
127.9127.6
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3
blue by 34.0
163.41.2
159.2160.4
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
Second
4951
#18
119.11.3
114.9116.2
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
blue by 7.9
6725
#20
127.01.2
129.5128.4
Auto16.6
Teleop95.5
End12.5
Third
6162
#33
95.30.8
93.294.0
Auto16.5
Teleop73.3
End3.8
blue by 21.2
5689
#28
116.41.3
118.6117.3
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed