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Red275
4525180.2
781116.7
6854108.3
Blue355
5589122.5
4940120.9
4688139.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342290100200400500600275355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.20.3
179.8180.1
Auto26.0
Teleop128.5
End25.3
red by 40.3
139.90.6
136.0136.5
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Second
781
#32
116.70.0
117.9117.9
Auto17.4
Teleop87.3
End8.5
blue by 5.8
5589
#23
122.50.0
122.5122.5
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
Third
6854
#36
108.31.2
110.6109.4
Auto12.7
Teleop84.7
End10.0
blue by 12.6
4940
#19
120.90.1
120.6120.7
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed