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Red280
5885127.5
7058126.1
7022106.1
Blue451
6881116.0
4903175.6
6992136.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263368100200300400500600280451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5885
#25
127.51.9
129.2127.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6
blue by 48.1
175.60.3
170.3170.5
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
7058
#17
126.11.0
121.0121.9
Auto19.8
Teleop92.5
End16.1
blue by 10.0
6992
#14
136.11.1
133.3134.4
Auto19.2
Teleop95.2
End20.5
Third
7022
#16
106.11.5
102.5103.9
Auto13.8
Teleop77.0
End18.9
blue by 9.9
6881
#27
116.00.7
114.2114.9
Auto19.1
Teleop87.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed