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Red364
2702141.8
587098.7
2634143.8
Blue280
5033103.8
5426156.2
5596142.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30334502004006008001,000364280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.82.4
137.1139.5
Auto14.5
Teleop106.0
End23.3
blue by 12.4
156.21.4
153.5154.9
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
Second
141.82.1
133.7135.8
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
blue by 0.6
5596
#12
142.42.5
132.7135.1
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
Third
5870
#35
98.70.1
98.398.4
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End6.0
blue by 5.1
5033
#38
103.82.3
107.7105.4
Auto13.2
Teleop79.5
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed