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Red223
5589122.5
6725127.0
6881116.0
Blue431
4903175.6
6856118.1
5408101.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275354100200400500600700223431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6725
#20
127.00.8
128.4127.6
Auto16.6
Teleop95.5
End12.5
blue by 48.6
175.60.8
170.5171.3
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
5589
#23
122.50.0
122.5122.5
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
red by 4.5
118.10.0
117.6117.5
Auto18.1
Teleop90.5
End8.8
Third
6881
#27
116.01.1
114.9116.0
Auto19.1
Teleop87.1
End11.2
red by 14.8
5408
#34
101.10.4
100.8101.1
Auto18.0
Teleop77.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed