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Red324
6378163.4
5483122.9
4525180.2
Blue331
6052127.8
2634143.8
4920138.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380299100200500600700324331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.20.1
180.1180.1
Auto26.0
Teleop128.5
End25.3
red by 36.4
143.82.2
139.5141.7
Auto14.5
Teleop106.0
End23.3
Second
163.41.1
160.4161.6
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
red by 25.0
138.42.3
134.9137.2
Auto21.3
Teleop100.2
End17.8
Third
5483
#22
122.91.4
121.0122.4
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
blue by 4.8
6052
#21
127.81.2
126.0127.1
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed