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Red256
4907116.1
5426156.2
6992136.1
Blue406
6481120.5
5885127.5
5039139.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3413210100200400500600256406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.21.2
154.9156.0
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
red by 16.8
5039
#13
139.42.3
133.6135.9
Auto17.5
Teleop110.3
End12.3
Second
6992
#14
136.11.4
134.4135.9
Auto19.2
Teleop95.2
End20.5
red by 8.6
5885
#25
127.51.0
127.3126.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6
Third
4907
#15
116.10.8
115.4116.2
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End16.2
blue by 4.4
6481
#29
120.50.3
120.8120.5
Auto14.0
Teleop88.7
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned5%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed