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Red199
2706173.9
4069104.8
7052108.6
Blue426
6110141.5
771101.4
6514128.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282400100200400500600700199426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#13
173.92.2
166.5168.6
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.2
red by 32.4
141.51.1
129.1130.2
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End18.3
Second
7052
#29
108.61.3
119.2117.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End13.2
blue by 19.5
6514
#19
128.10.5
118.7119.2
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
Third
4069
#28
104.80.4
103.7103.2
Auto17.8
Teleop73.1
End14.2
red by 3.4
771
#18
101.40.3
96.396.1
Auto14.4
Teleop79.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed