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Red407
4519119.0
4968133.3
4476203.5
Blue276
3543113.6
4678181.9
1075118.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340262100200300400500600407276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.51.5
185.9187.4
Auto27.3
Teleop155.8
End19.5
red by 21.5
181.92.1
166.9169.0
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
Second
133.30.6
122.8123.4
Auto18.1
Teleop98.6
End18.8
red by 14.8
1075
#22
118.50.8
114.7114.0
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End17.7
Third
4519
#23
119.01.2
113.5112.3
Auto18.6
Teleop86.6
End14.2
red by 5.4
3543
#16
113.60.5
109.1109.6
Auto17.7
Teleop85.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed