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Red369
5834124.5
4917215.2
6514128.1
Blue207
771101.4
2706173.9
7267108.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369266100200300400500600369207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.21.6
202.7204.3
Auto29.3
Teleop147.2
End40.2
red by 41.3
2706
#13
173.91.2
170.0171.2
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.2
Second
6514
#19
128.11.8
119.2121.0
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
red by 19.4
7267
#32
108.71.6
117.0115.4
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End1.9
Third
5834
#24
124.50.3
122.2121.9
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9
red by 23.1
771
#18
101.41.0
97.198.1
Auto14.4
Teleop79.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed