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Red268
4968133.3
3543113.6
6859122.4
Blue258
6987101.9
6110141.5
6336117.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294282100200400500268258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.31.5
123.4124.9
Auto18.1
Teleop98.6
End18.8
blue by 8.2
141.51.5
132.4133.9
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End18.3
Second
6859
#20
122.41.0
116.4117.3
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End15.8
red by 5.1
6336
#15
117.40.3
115.0115.2
Auto16.8
Teleop88.1
End9.6
Third
3543
#16
113.60.7
109.6110.3
Auto17.7
Teleop85.4
End13.8
red by 11.6
6987
#31
101.90.1
99.899.9
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed