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Red210
5672118.9
478391.4
1305213.7
Blue537
2708159.1
4678181.9
4343156.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533930100200300500600210537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.72.9
197.9200.8
Auto22.8
Teleop150.9
End39.6
red by 31.8
181.92.0
169.0171.0
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
Second
5672
#27
118.90.3
121.9121.5
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End11.5
blue by 40.2
159.12.6
143.4146.0
Auto19.5
Teleop123.5
End15.4
Third
4783
#26
91.41.3
92.691.2
Auto16.5
Teleop69.2
End8.2
blue by 64.8
4343
#12
156.30.1
156.9156.8
Auto23.1
Teleop106.2
End26.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed