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Red236
6864103.0
6978142.9
6110141.5
Blue284
478391.4
4476203.5
7267108.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283640100300500600700800236284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.90.7
126.4127.2
Auto19.2
Teleop110.7
End12.9
blue by 60.5
203.53.1
177.7180.8
Auto27.3
Teleop155.8
End19.5
Second
141.50.3
127.0127.3
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End18.3
red by 32.8
7267
#32
108.70.8
119.4120.2
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End1.9
Third
6864
#21
103.00.3
103.3103.0
Auto16.9
Teleop78.9
End4.6
red by 11.6
4783
#26
91.41.3
101.299.9
Auto16.5
Teleop69.2
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed