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Red186
4914150.0
771101.4
6987101.9
Blue208
1075118.5
7052108.6
2994137.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279302100200400500186208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#25
150.00.5
151.2151.8
Auto17.9
Teleop112.5
End18.9
red by 13.0
137.00.2
127.1127.3
Auto15.5
Teleop103.2
End18.9
Second
6987
#31
101.90.1
100.1100.2
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End10.1
blue by 16.6
1075
#22
118.50.6
115.0115.6
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End17.7
Third
771
#18
101.40.2
97.697.4
Auto14.4
Teleop79.2
End5.0
blue by 7.2
7052
#29
108.61.1
117.4118.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed