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Red272
6514128.1
7176113.8
6978142.9
Blue216
7052108.6
3543113.6
6110141.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318285200250300350400450272216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.91.2
135.7136.9
Auto19.2
Teleop110.7
End12.9
red by 1.4
141.51.5
133.9135.4
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End18.3
Second
6514
#19
128.11.6
121.0122.6
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
red by 14.5
3543
#16
113.61.0
110.3111.3
Auto17.7
Teleop85.4
End13.8
Third
7176
#30
113.80.6
114.9115.5
Auto18.5
Teleop86.4
End10.8
red by 5.2
7052
#29
108.61.8
116.6114.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed