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Red317
2706173.9
1075118.5
6336117.4
Blue410
1305213.7
2994137.0
2013148.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263433100200300500600700800317410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#13
173.90.5
171.2171.7
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.2
blue by 39.8
213.72.2
200.8202.9
Auto22.8
Teleop150.9
End39.6
Second
1075
#22
118.50.5
113.7114.2
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End17.7
blue by 30.0
2013
#17
148.50.9
146.7147.7
Auto19.0
Teleop111.4
End20.3
Third
6336
#15
117.40.4
115.8116.2
Auto16.8
Teleop88.1
End9.6
blue by 19.6
137.01.0
132.7133.8
Auto15.5
Teleop103.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed