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Red231
7329139.0
7176113.8
6110141.5
Blue349
4914150.0
2706173.9
4519119.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294363100200400500600231349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.51.6
139.4141.0
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End18.3
blue by 32.4
2706
#13
173.90.2
173.1173.3
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.2
Second
7329
#11
139.00.7
137.8138.5
Auto20.7
Teleop103.8
End21.2
blue by 11.0
4914
#25
150.00.0
149.9149.9
Auto17.9
Teleop112.5
End18.9
Third
7176
#30
113.80.8
116.0115.2
Auto18.5
Teleop86.4
End10.8
blue by 5.2
4519
#23
119.00.4
118.4118.7
Auto18.6
Teleop86.6
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed