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Red414
478391.4
6987101.9
4917215.2
Blue130
6514128.1
5672118.9
4069104.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353264100200300400500600414130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.21.6
210.2211.8
Auto29.3
Teleop147.2
End40.2
red by 87.1
6514
#19
128.11.6
126.5128.1
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
Second
6987
#31
101.90.1
101.2101.1
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End10.1
blue by 17.0
5672
#27
118.90.7
119.6118.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End11.5
Third
4783
#26
91.40.7
90.791.4
Auto16.5
Teleop69.2
End8.2
blue by 13.4
4069
#28
104.81.0
103.8104.9
Auto17.8
Teleop73.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed