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Red434
1310133.9
4939136.8
6632123.3
Blue256
5428148.5
4343152.6
7013135.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298361100200400500600434256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.80.0
136.4136.5
Auto18.7
Teleop100.1
End19.8
blue by 15.8
152.60.6
152.0152.6
Auto22.8
Teleop108.5
End25.1
Second
1310
#23
133.90.2
134.1133.9
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End11.4
blue by 14.7
5428
#30
148.50.1
148.5148.5
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
Third
6632
#18
123.30.3
122.1122.4
Auto15.3
Teleop95.4
End14.8
blue by 12.3
7013
#25
135.60.2
135.4135.6
Auto24.6
Teleop97.6
End13.6