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Red362
4618164.8
4976179.0
6141110.3
Blue286
5036175.1
4946173.8
6513114.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370319200250300350400450500550600362286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.00.8
176.0176.9
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
red by 3.9
5036
#10
175.10.2
174.7174.9
Auto23.0
Teleop131.1
End20.1
Second
164.80.6
162.8163.4
Auto17.8
Teleop123.9
End23.3
blue by 8.9
173.80.4
174.5174.1
Auto24.3
Teleop125.2
End21.8
Third
6141
#27
110.30.4
109.1109.4
Auto17.7
Teleop81.0
End10.6
blue by 4.5
6513
#33
114.80.3
115.3115.1
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End11.6