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Red430
4976179.0
4001136.1
5519123.8
Blue146
6140108.8
5776113.8
919108.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652210100300400500600430146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.04.5
139.5143.9
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
red by 65.2
5776
#29
113.85.6
108.1113.7
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End3.9
Second
4001
#13
136.10.5
136.5135.9
Auto16.3
Teleop99.6
End16.9
red by 27.3
6140
#20
108.80.6
104.3103.6
Auto16.0
Teleop80.0
End17.1
Third
5519
#15
123.80.7
120.6119.9
Auto17.8
Teleop91.7
End16.9
red by 15.4
919
#17
108.41.1
104.2105.3
Auto16.8
Teleop81.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed