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Red431
1325193.9
5921115.1
5031131.7
Blue160
6564116.9
4939136.8
4343152.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372700100200400500600700431160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.91.2
168.1169.3
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
red by 41.2
152.65.6
127.1132.6
Auto22.8
Teleop108.5
End25.1
Second
5031
#12
131.71.3
121.2122.5
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
blue by 5.1
136.81.3
132.2133.5
Auto18.7
Teleop100.1
End19.8
Third
5921
#14
115.12.5
99.5102.0
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
blue by 1.8
6564
#24
116.90.3
115.2115.5
Auto17.9
Teleop85.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed