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Red40
77197.6
6513114.8
1310133.9
Blue363
6564116.9
6397122.9
6009150.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28130010020040050040363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#23
133.91.7
152.1150.4
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End11.4
blue by 16.1
6009
#16
150.02.7
156.7153.9
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
6513
#33
114.81.4
127.8126.4
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End11.6
blue by 8.1
6397
#11
122.92.7
109.6112.3
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1
Third
771
#31
97.61.4
108.9110.3
Auto12.8
Teleop76.9
End8.9
blue by 19.3
6564
#24
116.90.3
115.5115.3
Auto17.9
Teleop85.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed