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Red172
854114.9
5921115.1
919108.4
Blue384
1360197.3
5776113.8
4976179.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1714250100300500600700172384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5921
#14
115.14.4
102.0106.4
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
blue by 82.3
197.31.8
186.5188.3
Auto24.8
Teleop147.9
End27.8
Second
854
#34
114.91.6
123.2121.7
Auto16.2
Teleop91.9
End8.0
blue by 64.1
179.05.1
143.9149.1
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
Third
919
#17
108.40.2
105.3105.5
Auto16.8
Teleop81.8
End10.1
blue by 5.4
5776
#29
113.82.0
113.7115.6
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed