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Red163
5036175.1
6140108.8
6975104.1
Blue452
1075115.0
1325193.9
4618164.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235379100200300500600700163452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#10
175.10.9
169.9170.8
Auto23.0
Teleop131.1
End20.1
blue by 18.7
193.92.0
169.3171.3
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
Second
6140
#20
108.81.1
103.6102.5
Auto16.0
Teleop80.0
End17.1
blue by 56.0
164.85.4
140.7146.1
Auto17.8
Teleop123.9
End23.3
Third
6975
#32
104.10.5
108.7109.2
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
blue by 10.9
1075
#35
115.00.6
114.2114.8
Auto15.3
Teleop83.6
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed