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Red179
4939136.8
5519123.8
6135109.1
Blue102
7013135.6
6632123.3
7329127.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266340100200300400500600179102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.80.5
133.5134.0
Auto18.7
Teleop100.1
End19.8
red by 1.2
7013
#25
135.61.4
143.8142.4
Auto24.6
Teleop97.6
End13.6
Second
5519
#15
123.80.2
119.9120.1
Auto17.8
Teleop91.7
End16.9
blue by 3.9
7329
#22
127.76.9
113.7120.6
Auto17.9
Teleop103.0
End6.5
Third
6135
#21
109.10.8
109.8109.0
Auto18.8
Teleop82.4
End9.3
blue by 14.1
6632
#18
123.34.5
120.3124.8
Auto15.3
Teleop95.4
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed