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Red274
6141110.3
4343152.6
6632123.3
Blue377
4618164.8
5036175.1
1310133.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143940100300500600700274377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.63.0
141.8144.9
Auto22.8
Teleop108.5
End25.1
blue by 22.5
5036
#10
175.10.2
171.2171.4
Auto23.0
Teleop131.1
End20.1
Second
6632
#18
123.30.4
119.9119.5
Auto15.3
Teleop95.4
End14.8
blue by 41.5
164.82.5
152.6155.1
Auto17.8
Teleop123.9
End23.3
Third
6141
#27
110.30.3
104.8105.1
Auto17.7
Teleop81.0
End10.6
blue by 23.6
1310
#23
133.93.0
143.1140.2
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed