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Red55
5776113.8
1075115.0
6975104.1
Blue431
6009150.0
4939136.8
1360197.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162426010020030050060055431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1075
#35
115.01.1
114.7115.8
Auto15.3
Teleop83.6
End16.9
blue by 82.3
197.30.6
191.0191.6
Auto24.8
Teleop147.9
End27.8
Second
5776
#29
113.81.2
119.2120.3
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End3.9
blue by 36.2
6009
#16
150.00.9
151.1150.2
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Third
6975
#32
104.10.9
107.8106.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
blue by 32.6
136.80.2
134.2134.4
Auto18.7
Teleop100.1
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed